I have always been a big fan of trailing stops. They serve two purposes – lock in some profit and give the market room to vacillate. A pure trailing stop will move up as the market makes new highs, but a ratcheting stop (my version) only moves up when a certain increment or multiple of profit has been achieved. Here is a chart of a simple 30 minute break out on the ES day session. I plot the buy and short levels and the stop level based on whichever level is hit first.
When you program something like this you never know what is the best profit trigger or the best profit retention value. So, you should program this as a function of these two values. Here is the code.
If d <> d[1] then Begin longMult = 0; shortMult = 0; myBarCount = 0; mp = 0; lep = 0; sep = 0; buysToday = 0; shortsToday = 0; end;
myBarCount = myBarCount + 1;
If myBarCount = 6 then // six 5 min bars = 30 minutes Begin stb = highD(0); //get the high of the day sts = lowD(0); //get low of the day end;
If myBarCount >= 6 and buysToday + shortsToday = 0 and high >= stb then begin mp = 1; //got long - illustrative purposes only lep = stb;
end; If myBarCount >=6 and buysToday + shortsToday = 0 and low <= sts then begin mp = -1; //got short sep = sts; end;
If myBarCount >=6 then Begin plot3(stb,"buyLevel"); plot4(sts,"shortLevel"); end; If mp = 1 then buysToday = 1; If mp =-1 then shortsToday = 1;
// Okay initially you want a X point stop and then pull the stop up // or down once price exceeds a multiple of Y points // longMult keeps track of the number of Y point multipes of profit // always key off of lep(LONG ENTRY POINT) // notice how I used + 1 to determine profit // and - 1 to determine stop level If mp = 1 then Begin If h >= lep + (longMult + 1) * ratchetAmt then longMult = longMult + 1; plot1(lep + (longMult - 1) * trailAmt,"LE-Ratchet"); end;
If mp = -1 then Begin If l <= sep - (shortMult + 1) * ratchetAmt then shortMult = shortMult + 1; plot2(sep - (shortMult - 1) * trailAmt,"SE-Ratchet"); end;
Ratcheting Stop Code
So, basically I set my multiples to zero on the first bar of the trading session. If the multiple = 0 and you get into a long position, then your initial stop will be entryPrice + (0 – 1) * trailAmt. In other words your stop will be trailAmt (6 in this case) below entryPrce. Once price exceeds or meets 7 points above entry price, you increment the multiple (now 1.) So, you stop becomes entryPrice + (1-1) * trailAmt – which equals a break even stop. This logic will always move the first stop to break even. Assume the market moves 2 multiples into profit (14 points), what would your stop be then?
See how it ratchets. Now you can optimized the profit trigger and profit retention values. Since I am keying of entryPrice your first trailing stop move will be a break-even stop.
This isn’t a strategy but it could very easily be turned into one.
Backtesting with [Trade Station,Python,AmiBroker, Excel]. Intended for informational and educational purposes only!
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